A recent poll has shown that former President Donald Trump is leading President Joe Biden in five crucial battleground states ahead of the 2024 presidential election, suggesting a competitive
race to come.
Despite the 2024 presidential election being a year away, Trump has consistently maintained a strong position among the crowded field of White House hopefuls. As the incumbent president seeking a second term, Biden is anticipated to garner strong support from Democrats during the election.
However, the latest polls from The New York Times and Siena College, released on Sunday, reveal that Trump holds a 10-point lead over Biden in Nevada, a 6-point lead in Georgia, a 5-point lead in Arizona, a 5-point lead in Michigan, and a 4-point lead in Pennsylvania.
The only battleground state where Biden emerged victorious in the poll was Wisconsin, and he led Trump by a slim 2-point margin.
Key Takeaways from the Poll In the 2020 presidential election, Biden managed to secure victories in all six of the battleground states mentioned in the poll.
However, the survey indicated a decline in Biden's popularity among certain voter groups that had supported his previous win, including voters under the age of 30.
Notably, Black voters in these states expressed 22% support for Trump, a noteworthy level of support for a Republican presidential candidate in modern politics.
The poll also revealed that, by a margin of 59% to 37%, respondents trusted Trump over Biden when it came to economic matters. This trust extended across genders and various education and income levels.
On the topic of abortion, which has been a contentious issue, respondents expressed more trust in Biden than Trump, particularly considering the debate surrounding the Supreme Court's decision to overturn Roe v. Wade, a landmark ruling that established the right to abortion in the U.S.
Insights from Other 2024 Polls A recent USA TODAY/Suffolk University Poll showed that both Trump and Biden had 37% of the vote, with independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. affecting Trump's potential narrow lead.
Kennedy, a scion of the prominent Democratic Kennedy family, received 13% of the vote in a hypothetical matchup, attracting voters who indicated a preference for the likely Republican nominee by a 2-1 margin.
Progressive activist Cornel West, who plans an independent campaign, garnered 4% support in the same poll. West's supporters would likely shift their support to Biden if he were not on the ballot.
The survey conducted by The New York Times and Siena College involved 3,662 registered voters and took place from October 22 to November 3. The margin of sampling error for the combined states is approximately plus or minus 1.8%. Within each state, the margin of sampling error ranges from 4.4% to 4.8%. Photo by Gage Skidmore from Surprise, AZ, United States of America, Wikimedia commons.